If you bought our Draft Guide last season, then you know about the BPGS 2.0 Fantasy Player Grading. If not, The BPGS 2.0 has 8 sections of criteria that adds up to 7 points regardless of position. It is a weighted scoring model, and I am currently working with AI to add a dynamic grid to our website so anyone can easily grade their players straight from our site. Please check back closer to your fantasy draft to see if it has been added yet! The higher the number, the better and safer a player should be. The BPGS 2.0's main goal is NOT to order your player rankings, as multiple players may share the same score and there is no tiebreaker. The system's purpose is to analyze a player's opportunity/situation and run it against a risk assessment, giving a numerical value to a player's upcoming season.
Nowhere else has this system, because we created it! So how accurate was the BPGS 2.0 in its third season?
It yielded a 10-6 (62%) record straight up and a 12-4 (75%) record with a standard deviation of +/-5. The standard deviation is the more precise method as the system is to generalize if a player will finish higher or lower than their consensus ranking.
The QB (2-1), WR (4-0), and the TE (3-2) positions all saw the system be effective, whereas the RB position was less effective going just 1-3. The common factor among the 6 who failed to meet the BPGS's expectations were that the system tended to trend low and inaccurately marked some players as busts who had good to average season. A large part of this was due to injury concerns. The most notable were Burrow coming off a season ending injury as well as the frequent injuries to Achane and Njoku. With these findings, we made changes to the current model by increasing the floor on player injuries. This decreases the numeric hit a player will take for having an injury history. Only the lowest health level was raised for QBs, but all stats that weren't "Healthy" were raised for the RB, WR, and the TE positions. No system is going to be 100% accurate, and a >60% rate shows it to be an effective system when grading a fantasy player.
Of the 6 players who failed to meet expectations, 3 were breakout candidates and 3 were bust candidates.
The ONLY place that you can get more information and the current BPGS player scores for the upcoming fantasy football season is through our 2025 Bettor in Green Draft Guide releasing this summer. Be sure to follow us on socials and keep up to date as we release more info in the near future.
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