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Weekend Warriors: Best Bets for Sep 29 - Oct 1.

The Weekend Warriors articles are back by popular demand! One of my most popular article series from my time with Cooper Sports has made its way over to Bettor In Green. For those who are unaware, the weekend warriors article will have a best bet in both college football and the NFL, as well as an honorable mention for each. Last year, NASCAR made an appearance as well, however, I have for the most part taken the year off from betting NASCAR and will be focusing on football for the foreseeable future. That being said, I may add plays from the MLB postseason, as well as the NHL, NBA and CBB as I see fit. My article plays ended up going 27-23-1 (54%) last year and while those numbers aren't anything to write home about, many of the losses came in NASCAR. Another chunk came in a historically bad College Football season for me. So far this season I am up 2.4u in college football and am on a 5-1 run over the last 2 weeks, as well as up 13.53u in the NFL in this young season. Let's get back to cashing some article plays in the first rendition of the Bettor In Green Weekend Warriors.

#17 Josh Allen - QB - Buffalo Bills | Source: Fox Sports

My best bet for week 4 of the NFL season is the Buffalo Bills -2.5 (-120) vs Miami. I know a lot of people will be hesitant to play this after Miami just dropped 70 points just one short week ago, but to me, that just gives us added value on the home team. The Dolphins are America's sweetheart team 3 weeks into the NFL season, and why wouldn't they be? This team is built on speed and high flying, high scoring offense, something American bettors are enthralled with. This offensive explosion has gotten the Dolphins off to a 3-0 start in this short campaign, both straight up and against the spread. After coming off of a historic offensive performance in their home opener against the Broncos, the Dolphins have to travel up to Buffalo to face their division rival Bills. Last time most people saw this Bills team play, they lost to the Aaron Rodgers-less Jets on Sunday Night Football during week 1. Josh Allen had a miserable second half in that game which lead to their defeat. Since then, the Bills have gone 2-0 by dismantling the Raiders and Commanders respectively, winning these games by a combined margin of 75-13. Josh Allen and the Bills offense have looked a lot more sound in their past 2 games and I look for them to expose Miami's lackluster defense. The Bills still own this AFC East division and when the dust settles on this NFL season, I expect the Bills to be standing atop the division and it all starts with this win. While this is a play on Buffalo, this is moreso a play against the Dolphins. As mentioned above, Miami is coming off of a historic game last weekend and I think it will get to their heads. There is no way they duplicate last week's performance, especially against a stout Bills defense. The only good defense that Miami faced this season was the Patriots, who held them to 24 points (season low). The Bills defense is a notch above the Patriots and their offense remains one of the best in the league. The value is on the Bills this week as the look ahead line had the Bills favored by 5.5 points. The 70 point outlier has overadjusted this line in the Dolphins favor and I am going to look to take advantage of that. I look for the Bills to control this game and win a relatively low scoring game 31-20.

Honorable Mention: Los Angeles Rams Moneyline -108

Stanford Football Team | Source: Stanford Athletics

My best bet for week 5 of the college football season is Stanford +27 (-108) vs Oregon. Plug your nose, this one is gross; which is why I love it! As a general rule of thumb when it comes to my betting strategies, I am constantly looking to zig when everybody else is going to zag, and this is what I am doing here. Oregon just destroyed America's favorite team in the Deion Sanders led Colorado Buffaloes 42-6. Colorado has been the most popular and most public team that I have seen in my sports betting career and everybody just watched them get humbled agaisnt this Oregon Ducks team. With how popular Colorado has been, I felt Oregon would put all of their effort into showing Colorado what an actual good team looks like, as well as humbling Coach Prime, which they did. After a huge victory over 19th ranked Colorado, Oregon now has to travel to Stanford to face the 1-3 Cardinal. Stanford is in the cellar of the PAC-12 this season and I don't expect them to improve in what is a loaded conference this season. So why am I looking to play on Stanford? This is a terrible spot for the Ducks and I think 27 points is just too many point blank. As mentioned above, the Ducks are off of their win over Colorado. After traveling to Stanford this week, Oregon then faces a 3 week gauntlet of a schedule playing 3 straight ranked conference opponents in 7 Washington, 16 Washington St, and 10 Utah. Oregon shouldn't give a rip about this Stanford team and I expect them to sleepwalk to a closer win than expected. Oregon wins it, but it won't be by 4 touchdowns. Give me Stanford +27 as my best bet in college football this week.

Honorable Mention: Syracuse +7 -105


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