UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs Hernandez - DFS Plays and Fades
- Ben Bentley
- Aug 8
- 3 min read
Being a premium member pays for itself! Real quick scoring overview: Fighters get .2 points for strikes and sig strikes, +0.03 pts/second of control time, 5 pts for TDs, 5 pts for reversals, and 10 pts for knockdowns. The earlier a fight ends; the more bonus points you receive. With this scoring, hesitant strikers that back up will single handedly sink your roster. I'm looking for wrestlers and guys with knockout power. If you would like access to the entire article, consider joining one of our premium member plans!
Every Lineup Fighter: Elijah Smith, $9,300, (-800)
At $9,300, Elijah Smith is a clear top-tier DFS play, entering as a massive -800 favorite — which implies an 88.9% win probability. Smith holds a clear advantage in virtually every area of this matchup. He’s the sharper, more technical striker with superior power and speed, and he’s also the more complete MMA fighter overall. His opponent, Toshiomi Kazama, is a BJJ specialist who struggles to get fights to the mat, lacking both the wrestling chops and striking skills to consistently set up his submissions. Kazama’s entire game plan revolves around turning fights into grappling battles, but Smith’s takedown defense and ability to keep the fight standing should completely neutralize that approach. Unless Kazama lands a rare opportunistic submission, this fight heavily tilts toward Smith, who should dominate on the feet and potentially score an early finish.