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Week 12 DFS Values of the Week


DFS Values

 Take advantage of the percentage a player is owned! The higher a player's exposure, the better you have to be at choosing other positions. Try to mix in different exposures to create your own unique lineup. Previous millionaire winners have a total ownership percentage of 100.56% each week, and the range between 75%-125% is recommended to increase your chances of winning.


QB: C.J Stroud, $7700, 9% owned

   This is a rematch of the game that put Stroud on the map. He should have a majority of his starting playmakers and with this game in Houston we don’t have to worry about weather. He has thrown for over 300 yards in each of the last three games and has 8 TDs over that span. It’s a rough QB week for DFS but Stroud is the best combo pick for price vs ownership percentage.


RB: Jerome Ford, $6700, 3.3% owned

   The Browns want to pound the ball and now get to face the worst rush defense in the league. They have made James Cook and Mattison look elite running the ball in the last two games with both backs rushing for over 80 yds. The Browns have a great O-Line and this defense will be able to steal possessions from a Broncos offense that has been playing over their heels. Expect the Broncos to come crashing back down to earth.


WR: Rashee Rice, $5700, 4.8% owned

   The Chiefs have ruled out Toney (hip), Hardman (Thumb (IR)), MVS (not good). Ok, MVS wasn’t actually ruled out but the other two were meaning the crazy rotation of Chiefs WRs should slow a little this week. Rice was 2nd in snap percentage among WRs last week and has the same number of TDs as the entire WR room combined at 4. Watson was the experimental guy last week but Rice has shown to be Mahomes go to WR. The last time the Chiefs scored less than 30 pts against the Raiders was a 28-10 win back in September 2019. Expect this to be a get right game for the Chiefs to silence the media.


TE: David Njoku, $5700, 2.6% owned

   The Browns were forced to turn to DTR after Watson was ruled out for the season and their game strategy is clear. Dominate with defense, pound the ball, and when forced to pass; throw short and safe passes. Njoku is the main beneficiary as he saw 15 targets last week. That was 6 more than the next closest TE and one less than Keenan Allen who led receivers in targets last week. Njoku is going to see some of the highest target share percentages among pass catchers again this week against the 24th ranked pass defense.


FADE OF THE WEEK: A.J. Brown, $8800 24.3% OWNED, ownership/price too high


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