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MLB Player Props 5/22

Updated: 4 days ago


Michael King ready to release his pitch
By: Eva Geitheim, Sports Ilustrated

Last night was another rough one, unfortunately. Yusei Kikuchi put on a good performance and was able to get through six innings, despite it not looking too good after the 5th. Then there was Mitch Garver turning into Mike Piazza at the plate last night. Lance Lynn was dealing and only allowed two hits before the game was delayed until today due to awful weather. A 1-2 slip was not what I had in mind, but that is how it ended up playing out. 

There was a small glimmer of hope, but unfortunate circumstances came into play. Luckily, we move to today and pick the best three props on the board. Here are the three best props for today. 

Michael King Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-130)

Michael King was one of the players that the San Diego Padres acquired in the Juan Soto trade this past off-season. The Yankees used King as a reliever for most of his tenure there but transitioned him to a starter role in the latter half of last season. Now he is a full-blown starter with the Padres with mixed results. 

He is sporting a 4.31 ERA with a combination of some good starts and some bad ones as well. The one consistent thing is his strikeouts. He is in the top 20 of strikeouts this season and has a good matchup to generate even more.

The Cincinnati Reds are an organization with a bright future. They have an immense amount of young talent. However, they are going to strike out a lot.  The Reds are in the top 10 in hitting strikeouts and the top five in hitting K%. King is in the 69th and 71st percentile in both whiff% and K%, respectively. 

King can have a bad showing at any given moment, but he can put together a great one. The Reds are prone to whiffs and that is where King thrives. His over 5.5 strikeouts is the play. 

Taijuan Walker Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-160)

The Philadelphia Phillies are the best team in baseball at the moment. They are hitting the ball at will while having a top-tier pitching staff. They are just clicking on all cylinders. One player they need to join this well-oiled machine is Taijuan Walker. 

Walker was one of their big free-agent signings two years ago. However, he has been up-and-down including this season. He battled a shoulder injury that sidelined him at the beginning of the season. Now he is healthy but is dealing with some issues. 

Today Walker faces the defending champion Texas Rangers, who are 2-8 in their last 10. Despite the struggles of the Rangers, they can still put it together offensively at any given moment. Walker is not a strikeout pitcher in reality, which is why I like this under. Walker has not hit this over in his four starts this season. Furthermore, the Rangers are 22nd in K%. They are just a well-equipped squad to not whiff at pitches and put the bat on the ball. 

Walker can have a decent game, but I do not think it will translate to strikeouts regardless of the performance. The under is a must-play today and might be the best prop on the board. 

Freddy Peralta Over 17.5 Outs (-155)

The Milwaukee Brewers currently hold the top spot in the NL Central, which is a surprise to some. They lost Brandon Woodruff for the entirety of this season due to shoulder surgery and moved Corbin Burnes in the off-season. This made Freddy Peralta the unquestionable ace of the team. Even with the team's success, Peralta has not been as great as a lot of us expected. He is posting a 4.17 ERA and 1.13 WHIP. Peralta could be a lot better and I think that starts today. 

The Brewers face the Miami Marlins, who have been playing decent baseball for the first time all season, as they are 6-4 in their last 10. However, they are in the bottom half in most offensive categories in the league. This is the perfect spot for Peralta to have a get-right performance. 

Peralta is supposed to be the guy in this Brewers rotation. He needs to put it together to give the Brewers some hope for a potential deep playoff run. I think today is the start of a Cy Young type of season. 

2024 MLB Record: 6-6



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