top of page

NFL Week 4 - DFS Values & Plays


Week 4 NFL DFS Values

Take advantage of the percentage a player is owned! The higher a player's exposure, the better you have to be at choosing other positions. Try to mix in different exposures to create your own unique lineup. Previous millionaire winners have a total ownership percentage of 100.56% each week, and the range between 75%-125% is recommended to increase your chances of winning.


QB: Caleb Williams, $5,800 (0.66% Ownership)

Caleb Williams is a sneaky contrarian DFS play in Week 4 with sub-1% projected ownership, as the field doubts his ability to repeat last week’s strong outing. At his price, he’s a worthwhile risk to ride the hot hand in a matchup against a Raiders defense that’s been Swiss cheese all season. With both teams likely keeping this game close and competitive until the final whistle, Williams has the upside to extend his streak and deliver big numbers while offering major leverage in tournaments.


RB: Omarion Hampton, $5,900 (15.57% Ownership)

   Omarion Hampton had a breakout performance with his first RB1 performance of the season. With Najee done for the year, Hampton is set to handle as much work as he can take, and the matchup is favorable against a Giants defense that just got gashed by Isiah Pacheco and is giving up the second-most rushing yards per game. While his projected ownership sits higher than ideal at 15.6%, his $5,900 price tag provides lineup flexibility and access to a feature back in a plus matchup, making him a strong mid-range option despite the chalk risk.


WR: Chris Olave, $5,100 (7.40% Ownership)

   Chris Olave is a high-upside DFS play in Week 4, leading the entire league with 37 targets through three games while commanding a massive 32% team target share. He’s been incredibly efficient, catching all 23 of his catchable passes and drawing four red zone looks already. The Saints enter as huge +16.5 underdogs to the Bills, which sets up a game script where Olave should see heavy volume as New Orleans is forced to throw early and often. While his injury history always carries some risk, he’s healthy heading into this matchup and offers the kind of ceiling that makes him best suited for DFS tournaments.


TE: Hunter Henry, $4,000 (4.63% Ownership)

   Hunter Henry is shaping up as one of the best DFS values for Week 4. He’s tied for the most red zone targets among TEs, leads the position in air yards, and commands over a 20% target share with more than seven targets per game. Despite going off last week for 90 yards and two touchdowns, his performance went largely unnoticed because the Patriots lost, keeping his ownership in check. With a favorable matchup against a Panthers defense that struggles to cover tight ends, Henry offers both steady volume and touchdown upside at a discount price.


Who is your favorite value this week?

  • Caleb Williams

  • Omarion Hampton

  • Chris Olave

  • Hunter Henry


Set your DFS lineup on my favorite site, Draft Kings!

They have the best user interface on the market and great tournaments to participate in!

Use our link below to get up to $300 in bonus bets INSTANTLY by placing a $5 bet!

draft kings promo

Comments


bottom of page