NFL Week 2 - Underdog Picks

When it comes to building winning lineups on Underdog, discipline is just as important as finding the right players. That’s why we keep our plays tight—sticking to just 3 legs. The math backs it up: the more legs you stack, the faster your odds drop. For example, even if each leg has a 60% chance of hitting (better than a coin flip), a 3-leg entry still has a 21.6% chance of cashing. Add a fourth leg, and it plummets to 12.9%. By the time you’re at 5 legs, you’re looking at just 7.7%—not exactly a recipe for consistency. In other words, chasing big payouts with long slips might look appealing, but the sharp strategy is keeping it short and maximizing your actual chances of walking away with a win.Being a premium member pays for itself! If you would like access to the entire article, consider joining one of our premium member plans!

Jalen Hurts HIGHER THAN 225.5 Pass + Rush Yards (PROMO)

Hopefully you rode with us last week and cashed! We’re kicking things off with a special promo from Underdog: Jalen Hurts’ passing + rushing line set at 225.5. The Chiefs kept rookie Omarion Hampton in check, but Justin Herbert lit them up through the air and on the ground. Kansas City’s secondary showed major miscommunication issues, giving up easy completions, and their struggles containing mobile QBs set Hurts up perfectly to rack up yards when plays break down.

Breece Hall HIGHER THAN 59.5 Rushing Yards

   This spot sets up perfectly for Breece. The Bills just got gashed by Derrick Henry, with their defensive line overpowered and little help from the linebackers or secondary. Breece, meanwhile, is coming off 21 touches and 100+ yards against a stingy Steelers defense. Buffalo probably won’t keep surrendering 8 yards a pop, but they were a bottom-10 run defense per touch last season. Add in the emotional letdown factor after their big win over the Ravens, and this matchup screams opportunity for Breece to take over on the ground.

Jahmyr Gibbs HIGHER THAN 0.5 Rush + Rec TDs

   Gibbs saw 19 touches for just 50 yards in Week 1, but this sets up as a prime bounce-back spot. He gets a revenge game vs his old OC, at home, against a defense on short rest that gave up more than a rushing TD per game last season and already sits at one through Week 1. At 0.8x, Gibbs is a buy-low play I’m all over. I also like Montgomery’s TD chances at +1.0x against the team that drafted him. With the Lions favored by 6 and projected for around 4 TDs, there’s plenty of production to go around—but Gibbs is the safest bet.

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